It's no secret that we're in a bull market for precious metals.
We made the argument for a new secular uptrend for these shiny rocks in last week's Gold Rush video.
Why do we think this is the case?
Gold futures have been printing fresh all-time highs seemingly every day, and precious metals stocks have followed suit with new highs of their own.
When you go back and study the previous cycles you'll notice that every bull market is characterized by more and more stocks making new highs along with the underlying futures contracts.
So let's take a step back and look at some stocks that are making new highs.
Gold has not only been shining in absolute terms but is also dramatically outperforming the broader commodity complex.
While energy chops around in a multi-year range and cattle carve out a distribution pattern, the glittering ore refuses to quit printing new all-time highs.
New all-time highs and fresh breakouts are dotting the charts. Buy signals are flashing left and right. And even the laggards – Palladium and Platinum – are refusing to break down.
Best of all, Gold has a one-track mind: up and to the right!
Silver is underperforming Gold. The corrections in Platinum and Palladium are burrowing deeper beneath our breakout levels. And the Gold Miners ETF $GDX is printing fresh lows versus the broader market.
After spending a week with clients at our Portfolio Accelerator and fielding countless reader emails, I completely agree!
Since gold and silver prices are getting a bit wild, I decided to dive straight into the Gold Rush mailbag today to start a healthy discussion about what might happen next…
What happened to gold/silver? Is the rally over?
-Parry
No, the rally isn't over.
Gold is consolidating below a critical extension level following a breakout to new all-time highs. And Silver is trading just off fresh decade-highs.
In many ways, it’s just getting started.
I can’t hold a bearish or neutral bias for precious metals while Silver trades above the 2020 highs of roughly 30.
The precious metals correction wasn’t pretty last week. But I’m happy to roll with the punches as long as silver futures hold their breakout.
Does the severity of the moves in gold really change anything as long as...
The silver-to-gold ratio went from posting fresh six-month highs last Monday to hitting sixteen-month highs by Friday’s close.
Silver is ripping on absolute and relative terms, and this can mean only one thing:
Risk-on!
Check out Silver driving home an explosive resolution following a successful pullback:
The pullback is another name for a retest – a common feature following a significant breakout. (Some use the term “throwback” to distinguish the action following an upside resolution from a “pullback” that displaces a downside resolution. But they’re all pullbacks to me.)
Interestingly, top-flight international soccer uses the same term for a particular goal-scoring tactic—a player takes the ball to the touchline and then passes to a teammate at the top of the box, who waits to direct the ball into the back of the net.
Premier League Champions Manchester City and Runners-up Arsenal successfully applied the pullback in a match last week. (One can only hope Liverpool’s incoming manager, Arne Slot, is taking...
Mining stocks are sticking their breakouts as our list of trending tickers grows.
The Junior Gold Miners ETF $GDXJ is breaking out, platinum futures are completing a yearlong base, and the silver-to-gold ratio is posting new highs.
With risk-seeking behavior creeping back into precious metals, it’s time to turn up the heat…
Check out the silver/gold ratio printing a fresh six-month high while violating a multi-year downtrend line:
Finally, Silver is bringing it!
I won’t get too carried away by these six-month highs. But it’s a start.
Trend reversals begin with trendline breaks. The silver-to-gold ratio is piercing a downtrend line drawn from the 2021 peak, signaling the early stages of a bullish reversal while revealing an uptick in risk appetite.
Plus, GDXJ is breaking out!
We have our levels for Gold and Silver, so let’s focus on a mining stock trading at a key area of former resistance.
Here’s McEwan Mining Inc. $MUX, a $500M gold miner based in Toronto, Canada: