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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-29-2020)

September 29, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we're watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Like we discussed last week, Equity Markets are becoming more of a mixed bag, but there are still plenty of strong areas we want to be betting on.

We're back above the risk levels we've outlined in recent weeks for most major indexes and we believe the resumption in relative strength from former leadership groups such as the Nasdaq, Tech, and Growth has given us a heads up that the recent correction low is in.

With that as our intermediate-term view on Equities, this post will focus on the strongest areas of the market that we again want to be leaning on for long opportunities to express our bullish thesis in the weeks and months ahead.

Starting at the...

The Reflation Trade's Upcoming Retest

September 24, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In June we outlined that the "Reflation Trade" indicators we track had picked up significantly after reaching levels of long-term support in March.

Since then that thesis has played out and we've been taking advantage of it in Metals, cyclical stock market sectors like Materials and Industrials, and even Agricultural Commodities which managed to break out.

But...after a nice run many of these assets and intermarket relationships have pulled back over the last month or so...begging the question "is the reflation thesis over?"

Luckily for us, we only need one chart to discuss what's happening and how we're approaching it.

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-22-2020)

September 23, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we're watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Our last RPP report took a deep look at the damage endured by the most important assets in the world during the recent selloff.

We held this report back a few days this week because the S&P just broke beneath our risk level and was in correction territory, down roughly 10% from its highs intraday on Monday. We wanted to see how things would shake out, and we're glad we did. Let's talk about it.

While many areas have held up quite well and are showing signs of a near-...

Rocks Over Stocks

September 18, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Thanks to everyone for responding to this week's Mystery Chart as always.

We had some great responses, most of which were mixed, with a slight majority wanting to "do nothing" and wait to see how price reacts at its former highs.

The chart was the Lithium ETF $LIT, which is breaking out to fresh highs along with a ton of other subsectors within the Materials space right now.

In this post, we will analyze almost every one of the key Materials industry groups to determine whether participation is broadening underneath the surface and supporting the recent strength and rotation into the sector, or vice versa.

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[Premium] The Canadian Miners We're Buying

September 16, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In yesterday's Members-Only Conference Call, we outlined our view on Precious Metals and provided several new trade ideas in the space.

All of the Miners we looked at were US-listed, so today I want to look to those listed on the TSX to outline which have the best reward/risk at current levels.

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-14-2020)

September 14, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we're watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Our last RPP report took a high-level look at the initial damage endured by the recent selloff.

This past week, we saw follow through on that weakness. That means we’ve got to take a deeper look at how the most important assets in the world have held up.

For the first time off the March lows, we’re starting to see a change in character in the way that the market corrects. Particularly Equity Markets, so that will be our focus this week.

Ultimately, while the...

[Video] "What The FICC?" Episode 6

September 11, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The Fixed Income, Commodity, and Currency markets are near and dear to my heart. Ever since I began learning Technical Analysis, I've always loved analyzing things that are "off the beaten path." This included everything from Interest Rates to Soybeans to the Norwegian Krone. Equities are great and all, but this is the stuff that gets me up in the morning.

In addition to the blog posts we do on the site, I've wanted to explore new ways to share that passion with you all and show why even if you're not investing in these markets directly, they're worth paying attention to.

That brings us to my weekly show, "What The FICC?"

In this weekly video series, I'll be highlighting the most important chart or theme from these three asset classes while doing my best to tie that analysis back to Equities through an intermarket signal or a trade idea.

This week's episode is linked below, enjoy!

Taking Cues From Emerging Market Currencies

September 11, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart.

A lot of mixed responses from this one. Some of you were buyers at support, while others were erring in the direction of the recent downtrend and looking for a resolution to the downside.

With that as our backdrop, let's just right into it.