$SPX 4-year election cycle seasonal composite. pic.twitter.com/zXX0Do5v7P — Nautilus Research (@NautilusCap) November 9, 2022 Today’s Chart of the Day was shared by Nautilus Research (@NattilusCap). The chart shows the S&P 500’s average performance throughout the 4-year Presidential Cycle (blue), with this year’s performance overlayed in red. The S&P 500 has been pretty in sync with […]
Chart of the Day – Wednesday, August 24th, 2022
Student loan forgiveness is entirely consistent with past efforts to juice economy heading into mid-term elections. It's what gives rise to the presidential election cycle for stocks. Chart from @NDR_Research – top panel is stocks, bottom is monetary/fiscal policy index. pic.twitter.com/lEijKflvmh — Willie Delwiche, CMT, CFA (@WillieDelwiche) August 24, 2022 Today’s Chart of the Day […]
Chart of the Day – Wednesday, April 27th, 2022
Today’s Chart of the Day comes from Jeff Hirsch (@AlmanacTrader). The chart shows how the S&P 500 has historically performed in Midterm Election Years. The S&P 500 is currently down more than 12% YTD, marking one of the worst starts to a year. The bad news for the bulls is that seasonality usually peaks right […]
Chart of the Day – Monday, November 2nd, 2020
During an election year, November is the best month of the year for the S&P 500. December is the third best month. Will 2020 follow suit and end up strong? pic.twitter.com/c6OSBks9Ac — Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) November 2, 2020 Today’s Chart of the Day was shared on Twitter by Ryan Detrick of LPL Financial Research (@RyanDetrick). […]
Seasonal Headwinds
Seasonality is not a perfect science. However, it can be helpful to be aware of the times of year that have been historically weak/strong for the market on average. (Don’t worry, I won’t torture you with a cliché quote about history repeating itself.) So far in 2019, stock market seasonality has served as a reasonably […]