Bear markets tend to be back-end loaded, with the largest declines coming in the last third (of time duration) 11 out of 16 times, with the average decline in the last third double that of the 1st or 2nd third. Of course we don't know duration ex-ante. pic.twitter.com/vvY0bWsFHn — Nick Reece (@nicholastreece) August 31, 2022 […]
Chart of the Day – Monday, July 11th, 2022
Amazing how much variation there are in bear market drawdowns looking back almost 100 years. If the bottom is already in, this will have been on the shallow end of bear markets. pic.twitter.com/iQuTM7lu98 — Fernando Vidal (@fernavid) July 10, 2022 Today’s Chart of the Day was shared by Fernando Vidal (@fernavid). The chart compares the […]
Chart of the Day – Tuesday, March 23rd, 2021
The bull market begins year two today. The good news is looking at the 6 previous 30% or greater bear markets since WWII, year two was higher every single time. The avg return was 16.9%, but there was a double digit pullback on avg as well. pic.twitter.com/fD9xmtnmKr — Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) March 23, 2021 […]
Chart of the Day -Thursday, March 19th, 2020
Reference points… current decline vs. prior bear markets. pic.twitter.com/R5pWNGAMeW — Strategas (@StrategasRP) March 19, 2020 Today’s Chart of the Day was shared on Twitter Strategas Research (@StrategasRP). It’s a chart of the S&P 500 over the past decade. A lot of people have been comparing the magnitude of the recent decline to past bear markets like 1987, […]
Chart of the Day – Monday, March 16th, 2020
2011 volatility looks like the best case scenario, not the base case, and certainly not the worst case. Remember, $SPX has twice fallen 50% since 2000. This is not a prediction, but it is possible in a bear market. $SPY. Post on setting expectations. https://t.co/0m2xT9MZ63 pic.twitter.com/7KLLHhieaa — Arthur Hill, CMT (@ArthurHill) March 16, 2020 Today’s […]