A Mild and Orderly Retreat π The Daily Chart Report
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Todayβs Summary
Thursday, September 25, 2025
Indices: Dow -0.38% | Nasdaq -0.43% | S&P 500 -0.50% | Russell 2000 -0.98%
Sectors: Energy was the only sector that closed higher, gaining +0.90%. Health Care lagged, falling -1.66%.
Commodities: Crude Oil rose +0.63% to $65.22 per barrel. Gold rose +0.32% to 3,781 per oz.
Currencies: The US Dollar Index gained +0.62% to $98.45.
Crypto: Bitcoin is currently down -3.63% to $109,229. Ethereum is down -6.80% to $3,870.
Volatility: The Volatility Index rose +3.60% to 16.73.
Interest Rates: The US 10-year Treasury rose to 4.176%.
Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas shared on the web today!
Chart of the Day
π Today's Chart of the Day was shared by Frank Cappelleri (@FrankCapelleri).
- The S&P 500 ($SPX) fell for the third straight day, but the pullback has been mild, slipping just -2% on an intraday basis and -1.3% on a closing basis.
- Frank notes that short-term momentum swiftly corrected from extremely overbought levels on Monday to nearly oversold levels. Importantly, it didn't quite reach oversold today, indicating a resilient underlying bid.
- Before pulling back, RSI confirmed the last all-time high on Monday, rather than diverging like it typically does before significant tops. However, immediate follow-through is necessary, and a potential oversold reading would suggest a deeper pullback than the previous ones.
The Takeaway: A -2% decline was all it took for short-term momentum to correct from extremely overbought levels to nearly oversold levels. It avoided oversold territory today, signaling resilience, but immediate follow-through is necessary, and a potential oversold reading would be a red flag.
Quote of the Day
"Avoid having your ego so close to your position that when your position falls, your ego goes with it."
- Colin Powell
Top Links
Typical October Performance: Choppy Recent Years but Stronger in Post-Election Years
Jeff Hirsch breaks down October seasonality.
Chinese stocks are just starting the AI journey and set up nicely - CNBC
Jeff deGraff discusses the setup for Chinese stocks and more.
Good Year for the US β But Everyone Else Is Beating It - The Daily Number
Grant Hawkridge notes that US stocks have continued to lag behind the rest of the world this year.
American Exceptionalism Just Got De-Listed - Trend Labs
JC Parets shares his thoughts on the underperformance in U.S. stocks.
AAII Bearish Tilt Could Be a Reliable Contrarian Indicator - Schaeffer's Investment Research
Rocky White shows that the S&P 500 often thrives when investors are skeptical.
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