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Today’s Summary
Friday, September 6th, 2019
Indices: US stocks were mixed in today’s session with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 69 points or 0.26%. The Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 fell 0.17% and 0.37%, respectively.
Sectors: Energy led, gaining 0.53%. Utilities lagged for the second day in a row, falling 0.40%.
Commodities: Crude Oil inched up 0.25% to $56.45 per barrel. Gold futures dropped 0.64% to $1,516 per ounce.
Currencies: The US Dollar Index dropped 0.41%.
Interest Rates: The US 10-year Treasury yield moved lower to 1.56%.
Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas being shared on the web today!
Chart of the Day
Today’s Chart of the Day was shared on Twitter by Mike Zaccardi (@MikeZaccardi). It’s a daily candlestick chart of Natural Gas Futures over the past 12-months. Natural Gas fell over 50% from the peak in November 2018 to the low on August 5th. Prices have quietly rebounded 22% off the low in just one month. Today, Natural Gas closed at a 3-month high of $2.499. Legendary investor Jack Bogle once said: “Reversion to the mean is the iron rule of the financial markets.” Natural Gas is still in a nasty downtrend; however, it seems to be in the process of reverting to the mean, and mean reversion moves can be powerful. It’s currently trading above its 50-day moving average (in red) but is still about 9.50% below its 200-day moving average (not shown). We’ll be watching this chart closely to see if Natural Gas can continue to recover even after the impressive rally that it has had over the past month.
Quote of The Day
Top Links
Gold, Apple, and Louise Yamada’s Journey – The Chart Report
In this report, we highlight some of the key takeaways from a recent interview with Louise Yamada.
The Stock Market Beach Ball – Martin Pring
Technician Martin Pring weighs in on the state of the US Stock Market and explains why he’s anticipating a rally in the near-term.
Podcast with Connie Brown – Technical Analysis Radio
In this podcast, JC Parets interviews author and technical analyst, Connie Brown. They discuss stock market panics, global indexes, and more.
Go With Large-cap Stocks Over Small-caps, These Traders Say – CNBC
Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer, Ari Wald tells viewers why he prefers Large-cap stocks over Small-cap stocks. He also explains why leadership from Large-cap stocks in constructive to the bull market.
Getting Technical: SPY Finally Breaks Out; Bullish on Canadian Solar (CSIQ) – Yahoo Finance
Brian Shannon of AlphaTrends.net and Myles Udland of Yahoo Finance discuss the S&P 500 as well as a Canadian Solar stock, $CSIQ.
Top 10 Tweets
“The Breakout” replaced the yield curve as topic of the week. Many are convinced it’s doomed to fail but reversals usually happen quickly. $SPX weekly chart poised for run at new highs. pic.twitter.com/nwrDXr6xqk
— Michael Turvey (@MikeTurvey_TDA) September 6, 2019
A weekly look at the Market. S&P 500, Dow 30, and NASDAQ 100 have weekly bullish reversals and penetrated 50% of July distribution week. Russell 2000 barely closed above last weeks high. $SPX $DJX $NDX $RUT #slowroll pic.twitter.com/EsRPm5Ewg8
— John McNichol (@JMcNichol_TDA) September 6, 2019
We have our important levels to watch moving forward. To me, the market just reiterated the significance of this summer support in $IWM & $DJT $TRAN $IYT pic.twitter.com/zOAolkJKp7
— J.C. Parets (@allstarcharts) September 6, 2019
Sentiment:
AAII Investor Sentiment Bull-Bear Spread 5wma at -17.6.
Among the lowest in more than three decades of this survey.
Also one of the lowest ever with Stocks so close to 52wk highs — a rare pessimism only seen in the mid-'90s & mid-'00s.$ES_F $SPX $SPY #Stocks pic.twitter.com/rsFLPCElhr
— Macro Charts (@MacroCharts) September 6, 2019
41% of the S&P traded to a one month high yesterday. Not an extreme, but stronger than the July highs. This is a decent improvement. Chart via @verrone_chris @Todd_Sohn pic.twitter.com/fMgmOXw8fH
— Strategas (@StrategasRP) September 6, 2019
Can Industrials finally breakout?
Been basing for nearly 20 months after a huge 2 year rally. pic.twitter.com/ILut7O6dPz
— Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) September 6, 2019
Among the six biggest sectors, which account for 78% of $SPX, $XLK and $XLI are showing internal leadership with over 90% of components above 20-day EMA. $XLF and $XLY are next (>80%) and $XLC is fifth (>70%). $XLV is the laggard here (64.52%). pic.twitter.com/Q3cVlGDfKD
— Arthur Hill, CMT (@ArthurHill) September 6, 2019
$VIX undercutting prior lows & could settle at the lowest levels since late July- Additional 3-4 days of SELLING looks likely here & stll early to buy implied vol pic.twitter.com/ehrHDq1wzp
— Mark Newton (@MarkNewtonCMT) September 6, 2019
I see you, J. Dust.$JDST pic.twitter.com/yLBlGMwuG0
— Adam D. Koos, CFP®, CMT (@AdamKoos) September 6, 2019
Lastly, for those arguing that this rally is being led by garbage…you're right!
Waste & Disposal Stocks At All-Time Highs…Again (Idx has set a MEDIAN of 19 New Highs per year since 2000!) pic.twitter.com/kOxSEStlyL— Dana Lyons (@JLyonsFundMgmt) September 6, 2019
You’re all caught up now. Thanks for reading!