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Patrick Dunuwila

No Follow-Through Monday πŸ“ˆ The Daily Chart Report

August 25, 2025

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Today’s Summary

Monday, August 25, 2025

 

Indices: Nasdaq 100 -0.31% | S&P 500 -0.43% | Dow -0.77% | Russell 2000 -0.96%

Sectors: 2 of the 11 sectors closed higher. Energy led, gaining +0.26%. Consumer Staples lagged, falling -1.71%.

Commodities: Crude Oil rose +1.79% to $64.80 per barrel. Gold fell -0.19% to $3,411 per oz.

Currencies: The US Dollar Index rose +0.72% to $98.43.

Crypto: Bitcoin is currently down -3.10% to $109,952. Ethereum is down -8.49% to $4,372.

Volatility: The Volatility Index rose +4.15% to 14.80.

Interest Rates: The US 10-year Treasury dropped to 4.276%.
 


Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas shared on the web today!
 


Chart of the Day 


πŸ† Today's Chart of the Day was shared by Alfonso De Pablos (@AlfCharts).
 

  • Small-Caps just posted their best week of the year relative to Large-Caps, as the Russell 2000 ($IWM) outpaced the Russell 1000 ($IWB) by +3.1%. Despite some giveback today, the ratio remains on track for its best month since November.
     
  • Over the past decade, Small Caps have erased their outperformance from the early 2000s. However, Alfonso notes, the ratio recently started to curl higher after tagging its inception lows dating back to the year 2000.
     
  • The long-term trend still favors Large-Caps, but the ratio has stabilized at a logical level. Weekly RSI shows a bullish momentum divergence, and with positioning still deeply negative for Small-Caps, a higher high in this ratio may not be far off.
     
The Takeaway: Small-Caps remain in a long-term downtrend versus Large-Caps, but the ratio has stabilized at support dating back to its inception lows. With improving momentum and lopsided positioning, the ingredients are in place for a sustainable reversal over the coming months.



Quote of the Day


β€œThe trick in risk management is in recognizing that normal is not a state of nature, but a state of transition, and that trend is not destiny.”
 

- Peter Bernstein


Top Links
 

A View from the Floor with Jay Woods, CMT - Freedom Capital Markets
Jay Woods outlines some key things to watch this week.

Confirmation Across the Cap Scale - Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso De Pablos highlights several notable breakouts from last week. 

China’s Comeback - Don's Dividends
Donovan Jackson covers the resurgence in China. 

Special Report: Odds Point Higher for Sports Betting - The Strazza Letter
Steve Strazza looks at the strength in sports betting stocks. 

Ahead of Labor Day Weekend Wednesday Best Last 21 Years - Almanac Trader
Jeff Hirsch breaks down Labor Day seasonality for the major indices. 


Top Tweets 

 

 


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